[26], Two-term Democrat Joe Manchin was re-elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. } Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. ", "Ohio's Sen. Sherrod Brown says he's running for reelection in 2024", "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown draws his first GOP challenger in key 2024 race", "Bernie Moreno launches U.S. Senate campaign to unseat Sherrod Brown", "Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey will run for reelection, boosting Democrats' Senate outlook for 2024 | CNN Politics", "Rhode Island Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse Has His First Republican Challenger", "Marshall community leader Tracy Andrus announces campaign for U.S. Senate", "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024", "Former Midland councilman announces U.S. Senate run in 2024", "First Challenger to Senator Bernie Sanders is a Familiar Face in Vermont Politics", "Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run", "A Club for Growth vice president and former Ron DeSantis staffer is vying for the GOP nomination to take on Tim Kaine next fall", "West Virginia Gov. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she will not seek re-election to a sixth term.[80]. Carper, whos served in the Senate since 2001 and held statewide office since 1977, said he wants to talk to his wife and that the options are wide open on whether he runs again. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. (CNN) The 2024 Senate map presents a daunting challenge for Democrats. [95][96], Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett, a former Indiana Secretary of State and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, is seen as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. [26], Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. External Relations: Moira Delaney Hannah Nelson Caroline Presnell Manchin has received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. The election will fill the Class I Senate seat held by Bob Casey Jr. (D), who first took office in 2007. 2024 Elections: Latest news and polls - POLITICO columns: 3; Additionally, California's top-two primary system may allow two Democrats to advance to the general election, a scenario that played out in the 2016 and 2018 Senate races. [119], One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. That makes for a tough cycle. Whether the 80-year-old President Joe Biden is mostly unpopular among young voters, or equaling his best-ever. State Attorney General Austin Knudsen and businessman Tim Sheehy are also considered potential Republican candidates.[116][117]. "She is . He is running for re-election. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. [129] State Senator Tracy Potter is also thinking of running. U.S. House elections, 2024 Voters in Arizona will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 5, 2024. Brown is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in states that Donald Trump won in both 2016 and 2020, alongside . Democrats, who have a 51-49 majority, are defending more than twice as many seats as Republicans (23 to 11), including in three Republican-friendly states and several others that may again be presidential-election battlegrounds [6] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. The 2022 Senate race in Nevada was one of the most competitive of last year's midterm elections. West Virginia. Time will tell if it proves to be insurmountable. The Senate's top Republican thinks so", "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat", "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge", "Virginia Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine announces he's running for reelection in 2024 | CNN Politics", "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin", "Manchin says he'll decide his 'political future' in December", "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks", https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/wis-businessman-decide-senate-run-labor-day-rcna80438, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_elections&oldid=1152677882, This page was last edited on 1 May 2023, at 16:59. U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight It's among the first major chess moves of. Media sources speculated for years that Dianne Feinstein might choose not to seek re-election in 2024 or resign before the end of her term, owing to her age, reports that her cognitive state was declining, and her decision not to take the position of Senate president pro tempore in the 118th Congress, third in line for the presidency, even though she would have been customarily offered the role as the most senior member of the majority caucus. Others have gotten there. (I-Vt.) said it was too early to talk about whether he might run for reelection. NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each Senate race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. Casey announced that he is running for a fourth term. Im thinking about it. Its too early to make those types of decisions, Cardin said. Then-President Trump won the state by a whopping 39. It's rated a toss-up and is one of nine key Senate battlegrounds, according to The Cook . [148] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Could 2024 Senate race beckon? Sen. Sinema changed her partisan affiliation from Democrat to Independent after the 2022 elections. 1. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. Senate following the election. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve 6-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and one special election will be held to complete an unexpired term ending January 3, 2027. Return here to share it. Kunce lost in his 2022 bid for the Senate but is running again in 2024 in hopes of defeating Republican incumbent Sen . } Some in the GOP hope it's not for good. Copy Code. [45], Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida. West Virginia. He is being challenged by artist Cris Ericson, a perennial candidate. Ruben Gallego. Gallego: 43%. [50][49][125], Educator, and former member of the Andover Township School Board, Daniel Cruz has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination. -moz-columns: 1; During this presidential election year, the President of the United States and Vice President will be elected. No candidates. Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. No. | Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. He is being challenged by Republican IT professional Raymond McKay.[56]. On January 20, 2023, Kaine confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. Table last updated: January 24, 2023 Incumbents not running for re-election January 24, 2023: Initial Ratings. Incumbent Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was appointed to the Senate in January 2009 to fill the vacancy created by Hillary Clinton's resignation to become Secretary . Incumbent five-term Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein was first elected in a 1992 special election, defeating Republican incumbent John Seymour. [142][143], State House Speaker Brad Wilson is seriously thinking of running against Romney for the Republican nomination[144] State Attorney General Sean Reyes, U.S. representative Chris Stewart, and former U.S. representative Jason Chaffetz are also considered possible Republican primary challengers. ^ Excludes Nebraska seat with a special election in 2024, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. The chart below shows historical partisan breakdown information for the chamber. U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024. Dems' bleak 2024 map - POLITICO Gallego. And one Democrat whos up in 2024 declined to give even a hint of where hes leaning. Governor Jim Justice,[64] Representative Alex Mooney,[65] and coal miner Chris Rose[66] are running in the Republican primary. 559 V. A-Public Policy Polling. Tester is one of three Democratic Senators who represent states won by Republican Donald Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 Am I undecided? Margin; WY: John Barrasso: R: R+43.4: WV: -webkit-columns: 1; Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided She is running for a fourth term. ", "Angus King readies 2024 campaign that would make him Maine's oldest senator", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/01/cardin-not-running-for-reelection-00094653, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", "Cardin raises just $29K in late 2022, fueling speculation about his political plans", "Elizabeth Warren, 73, announces Senate re-election campaign | Fox News", "Once Baker's heir apparent, Karyn Polito will leave office with him. What an amazing inspirational day of promise and charge to take our seat in the US Senate. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., is "not planning" to issue a primary challenge for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y.'s seat in the Senate, which is up for reelection in 2024. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. [32], In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's re-election decision still up in the air, Democratic U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced she would run for Senate. The interactive map provides a series of purple shades to use in these three states, in addition to the regular D/R colors. Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, perhaps the most vulnerable senator in 2024, has not yet announced his intentions to run for re-election. columns: 1; 2024 United States Senate election in California. 1. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. Tom Williams/AP Photos, I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Trump won the Buckeye State by. Representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are all seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary. Former Lieutenant Governor (2003-2007), former chair of the Republican National Committee, and Republican nominee for the Senate in 2006, Michael Steele is also seen as a potential candidate. If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections. ", "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat", "Lou Correa would be a much better Senate candidate than far-left Katie Porter", "Column: Feinstein won't step down early. I appreciate that you have a terrific audience and a lot of people read you but youre not my vector for an announcement., Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) in an interview. [134][135][136][137], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. Everybodys going to have to make their own decision. [3] A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent Republican James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to Schiff's role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. You can separately choose how to count each independent for purposes of determining majority control. Two-term Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected in 2018 with 57.7% of the vote. [2] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona - Wikipedia Sen. Joe Manchin isn't one to shy away from attention . [126] Former Representative of New York's 1st congressional district and Republican nominee for Governor of New York in 2022, Lee Zeldin, has not ruled out seeking the Republican nomination to challenge Gillibrand. And this is not the place for that announcement. A total of 468 seats in the U.S. Congress (33 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for election on November 5, 2024. [39], One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. Nebraska Gov. Candidates have. [39][4], Feinstein continued to demur on her re-election plans, at one point saying she would not announce her decision until 2024. [146] Governor Glenn Youngkin, who will be term-limited in 2025, is considered a possible Republican candidate. 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio - Wikipedia But candidate strength is unsettled", "Taylor Robson considering U.S. Senate run in 2024", https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/10/politics/senate-republicans-primary-challenges-trump/index.html, https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/arizona-sheriff-mark-lamb-running-for-us-senate-seat-held-by-sinema/ar-AA19JaMi, https://morningconsult.com/2022/01/31/doug-ducey-mark-kelly-kyrsten-sinema-approval-rating-arizona/, "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", https://ustimespost.com/gop-attorney-eric-early-announces-senate-campaign/, https://www.oc-breeze.com/2022/05/16/213250_long-beach-rwf-to-welcome-future-senate-candidate-denice-gary-pandol-to-june-11-breakfast-meeting/, https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/443/202211149546774443/202211149546774443.pdf, https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/840/202207189522175840/202207189522175840.pdf, "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric", "Five Democrats who may retire ahead of 2024 Senate elections as GOP seeks control", "Old Bay melee: Maryland Dems circle as Cardin weighs reelection", "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott", "Rick Scott faces uncertain future after bruising midterm year", "Murphy leaves Congress as bipartisan dealmaker. At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. No I am all in. An early look at key 2024 Senate races and candidates -webkit-columns: 3; [115], U.S. I feel great. What 2022 tells us about the 2024 electoral map - POLITICO Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election. Brown is running for a fourth term. ", https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/720637/florida-florida-florida-falls-off-the-senate-map/?unlock=QCQ2Y0EOOWXI2UZU, "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat", "Hoosier free-for-all? | Jim Justice announcing his Senate bid in West Virginia - the seat most likely to flip party control in 2024. [147], Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast. As Democrats look to expand their 50-50 Senate majority in November, they have an even tougher election cycle on the horizon in 2024. } Will the party let him? Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment, and his indicated that he will announce a decision on reelection by mid-April 2023. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. Former Governor Doug Ducey stated that he's unlikely to run. -webkit-columns: 3; 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. } In addition, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested to determine the membership of the 119th United States . [34][35], A third Democratic House member, Barbara Lee, reportedly told members of the Congressional Black Caucus in January that she would also run for Senate. Am I undecided? Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points and West Virginia by 39 points, but Democrats concerns extend further afield. [31] U.S. Representative Jared Golden (ME-02) is considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own forecast. She confirmed that she would stay in the race even if Feinstein chose to run for another term. Republicans Still Have A Clear Path To Retaking The Senate In 2024 There are 33 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 202410 seats held by Republicans, 20 held by Democrats, and three held by independents who caucus with Democrats. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considered the 2024 election to be the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years. There have been reports that Manchin plans to run for a third full term. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. (ret.) Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo, Im gonna listen to people in Delaware, and Im going to listen to my wife. Several senators are waiting to see how the midterms shake out in a month before making any moves, according to interviews and statements from 22 of the 23 sitting Democrats up in 2024. The 2024 Senate playing field starts to take shape - CNN The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { An updated analysis of each race can be found here ($). California Democrats are unlikely to wait for her, already eyeing the seat as essentially open in 2024. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings. 2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin CNN Indiana GOP Sen. Mike Braun filed paperwork on Wednesday to run for governor, a move that will trigger an open seat race to replace him come 2024. Two-term Democrat Chris Murphy was re-elected in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she is seeking reelection, despite previously declaring an intention to retire. Tech: Matt Latourelle Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. The party, which currently holds a narrow 51-49 majority, must defend 23. [42][44], Schiff began 2023 with $20.6 million in his campaign account compared to $7.7 million for Porter and just under $55,000 for Lee. Republicans seeking a Senate majority in the 2024 election have one clear early advantage: an unusually favorable map. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) ultimately won reelection, but the race was decided by fewer . Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not. Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? [101] U.S. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. [40] However, in February 2023, she finally confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years. [6][88] Should Carper retire, U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) and Governor John Carney are both seen as potential candidates for the Democratic nomination, with Rochester having already expressed interest. Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) said he wont decide on his 2024 plan until the end of this year or early next but is vigorously fundraising, doing everything that a candidate does. Sen. Bernie Sanders Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. [37] A longtime progressive first elected in a 1998 special election, Lee is known for being the only member of Congress to vote against the Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, which led to military deployment in Afghanistan and several other countries. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. [90][91], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy,[92] former U.S. Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and state Senator Shevrin Jones are seen as potential Democratic candidates. [67] Hedge fund manager Eric Hovde, candidate for the Senate in 2012, has publicly expressed interest in a second attempt at earning the Republican nomination. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. [3] Representative Elissa Slotkin is running for the Democratic nomination. The 2024 Senate map just got even more difficult for Democrats - CNN The election will fill the Class I Senate seat held by Kyrsten Sinema (independent), who first took office in 2019. And the 2024 Senate race is no exception. 2024 United States elections - Wikipedia Mayor Breed, other community leaders stump for Rep. Lee in U.S. Senate race", "LA Mayor Karen Bass endorses Barbara Lee for Senate", "The Race to Succeed Dianne Feinstein in California Gets Even More Crowded", "Paparian Announces Endorsements Pasadena Now", "Voters prefer Newsom in Sacramento + McCarthy to speak at CAGOP + Bass endorses Lee", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "u.s. Rep. Barbara Lee Announces Run For Senate", "U.S. Rep Barbara Lee formally kicks off Senate campaign in Oakland", "@BarbaraLeeForCA! Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch [72][73], Among Republicans, Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb has announced his candidacy. Pete Ricketts tapped to fill Sasse's Senate seat", "Lt. Col. And the people of Delaware have been kind enough to elect me statewide 14 times and when I travel around the state, the support and encouragement I receive is frankly unparalleled with anything Ive heard in all the years Ive been doing this. Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. From being the only Member of Congress to take a courageous vote against giving George W Bush unlimited war powers in 2001 to her pathbreaking leadership fighting for investments in peace, climate action, cannabis legalization, fair housing, abortion rights, and moreI am proud to call Barbara Lee a colleague, a mentor and a friend. Seats in the U.S. Senate up for election in 2024 by the state's margin in the 2020 presidential election. One special election is also scheduled for November 5, 2024. These are the top Senate races to watch in 2024 - MSN
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